Symmetric Triangle Failure

January 22, 2010 · Posted in Failed Chart Patterns, Fib. Bands, Globex Pivots, SuperBars, Symm. Triangles · Comments Off on Symmetric Triangle Failure 

Jan. 21, 2010

Symmetric Triangles are continuation patterns and are very reliable. Very rarely (<20%) I have seen failures in Symm. Triangles. Today's @ES showed a methodical failure in Symm. Triangle pattern. Overnight trading range (Globex) was up as it traded Globex high of 1139.25 to Globex low of 1130.75. At the open, ES was trading near the Globex Mid level (1135). A series of Lower-High swings and Higher-Low Swings prices formed the Symmetric Triangle pattern. My first assumption was to trade the pattern from long side as trendline breakout above GBXHi: 1139.25. The prior trend before formation of the pattern is in uptrend. 4th swing in the Symm. Triangle was marked around 1132. Once price trades below the 4th swing point, it confirms the Failure of Symm. Triangle. Around 10.15am, price closed below 1132 triggering a Short and confirming the Symm. Failure. The Stop is set above the GBXMid and VAH: 1135. The range (SIZE) of the Symm. Triangle (1 to 2) is about 10 points. This is the target size from the breakdown level below 4 to 1122. SymmTriangleFailure_Jan2110