Could GOOG fall to 337?

August 29, 2010 · Posted in Fibonacci Levels, Symm. Triangles · Comments Off 

I was looking at GOOG’s chart to see if GOOG has any support at current levels. I trade Daily Stock Charts, but I do research Weekly and Monthly charts to see if there is any glaring visible pattern for me to analyze.

Interestingly GOOG seems to be forming a Symmetric Triangle Pattern. So, I want to see GOOG’s retracement levels. GOOG started trading in Aug. 2004 at a low of $95 and reached a high of $747 by Nov. 2007. From Nov. 2007, GOOG retraced (BC) by 76.4% to $247 in Nov. 2008. From a low of $247 in Nov. 2008, GOOG rallied to 628 by Dec. 2009, which is also 76.4% rally into BC range. If Symmetry works, GOOG should retrace the same 76.4% of CD retracement and trade at $337.57.

Another Elliott Wave Trade in ES

August 10, 2010 · Posted in ABC Bullish, Elliott Wave · Comments Off 

I am finding EW trades more now… This may force me to go back and study Elliott Waves all over again :) I do like when they work intraday, so I can quickly evaluate if my thesis is correct.

Today ES started to sell-off at the open and started to form 0-1-2 setup (ABC) around the mid Fib. Band. This is usually not my typical trade since the pattern formation is around the mid Fib. Bands not near the extreme bands. Anyway, around 10.45am, price formed a small ABC (0-1-2) and traded above mid Fib. Band. This has given me the first clue that it may be the seed-wave (0-1-2) of EW pattern. I quickly started to plot potential Wave 3 range. I suspected the W3 may be between 1123 (127% of 0-1) and 1124.5 (162% of 0-1) setup. About 11.45pm, Price traded at 1124.5 (162%) and started to retrace to the mid Fib. Band (also at 100% of 0-1). Now I was confident that if price starts to rise, it will at least see between 1125 (0.62 of 2-3) and 1127 (0.76 of 2-3) for Wave 5. Just about 3pm, price traded at 1127 and finished Wave 5.

In my view, EWs are hard to detect and very rarely they are easy to spot with naked eyes. But when they do work as today, they really show the power of Elliott Waves and Fibonacci Ratios.